메뉴 건너뛰기

XEDITION

Board

By Cynthia Kim

SEOUL, July 29 (Reuters) - South Korea's property market has abruptly gone from sizzling hot to floundering, piling pressure on some of the world's most debt-saddled consumers as the sector experiences the fastest interest rate hikes on record.

Prices of Seoul apartments last week reported their sharpest decline in 26 months, while transaction volumes in the capital dropped 73% in June from a year earlier.

The 2.6 quadrillion won ($1.97 trillion) debt tied to the property market faces a major test as borrowing costs rise, with a slump and higher mortgage repayments likely to result in weaker consumption.

With nearly three quarters of household wealth tied to real estate, policymakers worry higher mortgage rates could increase defaults and take the economy closer to a financial crisis.

Ordinary Koreans are already feeling the squeeze - for Jane Jeon, a 36-year-old mother of a six-month old in central Seoul, growing mortgage stress means she has had to make some hard choices.

"My husband's pay now isn't enough to cover our monthly repayment so I need to cut my maternity leave short and return to work," said Jeon, who had initially planned to take 15 months off.

Her family now pays 720,000 won more each month than last year for their 500 million won mortgage, which her broker said will probably rise further by year-end, bringing their total monthly repayment to almost 4 million won, or 70% of her husband's pay.

Financial regulators expect the number of people that could default on their loans to rise by half a million to 1.9 million once the average mortgage rate reaches 7% from current 5-6%.

With services and commodities consumption from construction investment accounting for about 15% of economic activity, a property slump, combined with dwindling exports, would pose a big drag on growth.

"South Korea's financial system is one of the most vulnerable in the world to interest rate hikes, as the debt increase over the pandemic has been one of the highest," said Seo Young-soo, an analyst at Kiwoom Securities.

"Those that had recently taken out both a mortgage and credit loans on top of that (for investment) face the most trouble."

PLENTY OF DOWNSIDE

The Bank of Korea has raised interest rates by 1.75 percentage points since August last year, including an unprecedented 50 basis point hike this month.

The policy rate is widely seen peaking by year-end at 2.75% from 2.25% currently, which will squeeze indebted families further as local mortgage rates rise from current nine-year highs.

Over the past five years, Seoul home prices more than doubled in what began as a stimulus-fueled search for homes and turned into a national pastime, igaming solutions even as heavier loan restrictions threw many millennials into financial distress.

South Korea had one of the world's highest household debt-to-GDP ratios at 104.3% in the first quarter, data of 36 major economies from the Institute of International Finance shows.

Regulators have sought to mitigate the impact of any household debt on the wider financial system by offering borrowers a chance to refinance loans at a fixed rate.

That relief came just two weeks after the BOK's supersized rate hike this month.

"We will improve the structure of household debt in a swift manner," finance minister Choo Kyung-ho said earlier this week. "When the planned refinance package takes off, the proportion of household debt on variable interest rates should fall by up to 5 percentage points, to under 73% from 78%."

3 weeks ago

The debt to disposable income ratio reached 206% at the end of last year, meaning household debt is now double what they have for living expenses.

"Our apartment is everything we have so we're going to make it work," said Jeon. "I'd hate to move out of Seoul."

($1 = 1,316.1100 won) (Reporting by Cynthia Kim; Editing by Sam Holmes)

번호 제목 글쓴이 날짜 조회 수
10638 Ligo Partners EugenioWeiland26763 2023.01.13 0
10637 Rahasia Sukses Bermain Lokasi Slot Online Terpercaya RedaNwh4344701195890 2023.01.13 0
10636 What Is Trente Et Quarante? CiaraPutman55621076 2023.01.13 0
10635 The Best Side Of Sports Betting JoyFarncomb379310339 2023.01.13 0
10634 Christmas Gifts - Strategy At Explored Minute MireyaLawson9207 2023.01.13 0
10633 Information: The Way To Set Up A Franchise Enterprise In Malaysia EarnestineHanger105 2023.01.13 0
10632 Trik Tonton Bola Online Supaya Tak Bufering NellieSummers0405903 2023.01.13 0
10631 OVO 777 Website Judi Slot Online Indonesia Terlengkap VidaAlba561831669 2023.01.13 0
10630 How Do They Do It? GarrettHarford1680 2023.01.13 0
10629 Langkah Pilih Situs Bola Online Deposit Murah MattWolford6487 2023.01.13 0
10628 Tehnik Menangi Taruhan Bola Online Mix Parlay AnnmarieLui345872 2023.01.13 0
10627 CRAIG BROWN: Next Year's News Part II  RedaHardess6165064 2023.01.13 0
10626 Pornhub Best Sex Site TamaraPolson78822 2023.01.13 0
10625 Di Mana Dapat Main Games Slots Online Beri Keuntungan? BartSanmiguel2505 2023.01.12 0
10624 Trik Menang Slots Online Yang Sedikit Didapati KristopherY93504472 2023.01.12 0
10623 Craniosacral Therapy - What Is It And How Can This Operate? SheltonBarnum67955134 2023.01.12 0
10622 A 12-year-old Chinese Boy Needed Urgent Medical Attention After A Bizarre Sexual Experiment With A Thermometer Went Horribly Wrong OliverMehler8957728 2023.01.12 0
10621 What Is Tadalista Super Active ElsieMonson440907 2023.01.12 0
10620 The Jump Reference Book Is In Fact A Combined Program Which Works On Every The Aspects Needed To Growth Your Vertical Leap. If Youre Looking To Enlargement Your Vertical This Program Will Have Enough Money The Best Results. MarlonFernando235 2023.01.12 0
10619 Examine This Report On Sports Betting Site BerthaLomax555094 2023.01.12 0
위로